Name: forecasting international migration in europe: the bayesian approach (en Inglés)
SKU: 3405247
Price: 3759.00 UYU
Availability: InStock
Author: bijak
ISBN: 9789048188963

portada forecasting international migration in europe: the bayesian approach (en Inglés)

forecasting international migration in europe: the bayesian approach (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Editorial

Springer

Autor

bijak

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

240

ISBN

9048188962

ISBN13

9789048188963

Categorías

Probabilidad y estadística

forecasting international migration in europe: the bayesian approach (en Inglés)

Bijak (Autor) · Springer · Libro Físico

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Reseña del libro "forecasting international migration in europe: the bayesian approach (en Inglés)"

this book addresses from a methodological perspective a research problem, how to forecast the international migration component in a way that could be then used for population forecasts using the probabilistic approach. all forecasts are made in the conditions of uncertainty, which is an immanent feature of every inference about the future, a key issue in forecasting becomes not to offer a point estimate of the future values of the variables under study, but rather to provide a reliable assessment of the related uncertainty span, ideally, in a coherent and quantifiable manner. it consists of three major parts: an overview of existing theories, methods and models used for forecasting migration flows, followed by a proposition of a forecasting framework based on the bayesian approach in statistics, and then by a discussion of the predictions from the point of view of forecast users (decision-makers).